A Forecasting Decision Support System

Fourth International Workshop on Computational Intelligence & Applications Proceedings : IWCIA 2008 59-64 頁 2008-12 発行
アクセス数 : 544
ダウンロード数 : 108

今月のアクセス数 : 3
今月のダウンロード数 : 1
ファイル情報(添付)
10-06-PS080002.pdf 265 KB 種類 : 全文
タイトル ( eng )
A Forecasting Decision Support System
作成者
Sayed Hanaa E.
Gabbar Hossam A.
Fouad Soheir A.
Ahmed Khalil M.
Miyazaki Shigeji
収録物名
Fourth International Workshop on Computational Intelligence & Applications Proceedings : IWCIA 2008
開始ページ 59
終了ページ 64
抄録
Nowadays forecasting is needed in many fields such as weather forecasting, population estimation, industry demand forecasting, and many others. As complexity and factors increase, it becomes impossible for a human being to do the prediction operation without support of computer system. A Decision support system is needed to model all demand factors and combine with expert opinions to enhance forecasting accuracy. In this research work, we present a decision support system using winters', simple exponential smoothing, and regression statistical analysis with a new proposed genetic algorithm to generate operational forecast. A case study is presented using real industrial demand data from different products types to show the improved demand forecasting accuracy for the proposed system over individual statistical techniques for all time series types.
著者キーワード
Forecasting
Regression Analysis
Genetic Algorithm
Support System
NDC分類
技術・工学 [ 500 ]
言語
英語
資源タイプ 会議発表論文
出版者
IEEE SMC Hiroshima Chapter
発行日 2008-12
権利情報
(c) Copyright by IEEE SMC Hiroshima Chapter.
出版タイプ Version of Record(出版社版。早期公開を含む)
アクセス権 オープンアクセス
収録物識別子
[ISSN] 1883-3977