The Impact of Oil Price to Indonesian Macroeconomics Indicators : Pre and Post Asian Crisis

国際協力研究誌 Volume 23 Issue 1・2 Page 103-118 published_at 2017-03-01
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Title ( eng )
The Impact of Oil Price to Indonesian Macroeconomics Indicators : Pre and Post Asian Crisis
Creator
Luthfi Ahmad
Senevirathne Chathuri
Source Title
国際協力研究誌
Journal of International Development and Cooperation
Volume 23
Issue 1・2
Start Page 103
End Page 118
Abstract
This study is aimed to investigate the impact of oil price in several measures (Linear, Volatility and Non Linear) to Indonesian macroeconomic variables, pre and post the Asian financial crisis and examine the role of fuel subsidy to cushion the harmful effects. Vector Autoregression (VAR) model was employed to analyzed the impact and it shown that the impact in macroeconomics variables in post crisis was worse than pre crisis. Moreover, the result also revealed that fuel subsidy could be one of factors mitigating the harmful effects in pre-crisis. However, the role seems did not exist in post-crisis even the government provided nine-folds fuel subsidy than pre-crisis. The policy implication of this research is that the government should reform fuel subsidy policy to be a sustainable policy which considering economy, social and also environmental effect.
Keywords
Oil Price
Macroeconomics
Vector Autoregression
Sustainability
Descriptions
The authors thank to Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia by providing doctoral scholarship and The Setsutaro Kobayashi Memorial Fund (Fuji Xerox) which afford research fund for this study.
NDC
Economics [ 330 ]
Language
eng
Resource Type departmental bulletin paper
Publisher
広島大学大学院国際協力研究科
Date of Issued 2017-03-01
Rights
Copyright (c) 2017 Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation Hiroshima University. 本紀要の一部・全部を問わず、著作権者(広島大学大学院国際協力研究科)の文章による許諾なしに複写・翻訳することを禁じます。
Publish Type Version of Record
Access Rights open access
Source Identifier
[ISSN] 1341-0903
[NCID] AN10482914