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ID 41406
本文ファイル
著者
Ichihashi, Masaru 大学院国際協力研究科 広大研究者総覧
Yano, Shunsuke
キーワード
Emissions Trading Scheme
Japanese Economy Growth
Input-Output model
Repercussion Effects
JEL: Q51
JEL: Q56
JEL: R11
JEL: R15
NDC
経済
抄録(英)
This paper examines the impact of introducing an emissions trading scheme (ETS) in Japan using an input-output model. Using demand forecast data from the Ministry of the Environment (2012), we examined the impacts of two cases: one in which emissions were reduced without introducing a scheme (the business as usual (BAU) case) and one in which a scheme was introduced (ETS case). In both cases, the aggregate repercussion effects were negative, but the negative impact was significantly greater in the ETS case (1.3 trillion JPY, which is approximately 0.14% of GDP). The negative repercussion effects are consistent with the results from MOE (2012). However, our study showed positive repercussion effects on employment regardless of employment status. This occurs because the labor absorptive capacity is low in sectors such as steel, where demand will decline due to the introduction of a scheme, so there is a small impact on employment; in contrast, sectors that benefit from the adoption of the scheme have high labor absorptive capacities. Accordingly, the adoption of an ETS in Japan would be positive for jobs but would not have a significant impact in terms of stimulating output.
内容記述
This paper was made possible by a fiscal 2012-2014 Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (Challenging Exploratory Research, proposal number 26550110).
掲載誌名
IDEC DP2 Series
6巻
4号
開始ページ
1
終了ページ
19
出版年月日
2016-10
出版者
広島大学大学院国際協力研究科
言語
英語
NII資源タイプ
紀要論文
広大資料タイプ
学内刊行物(紀要等)
DCMIタイプ
text
フォーマット
application/pdf
著者版フラグ
publisher
部局名
国際協力研究科
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