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ID 31734
本文ファイル
著者
Kawai, Ken-ichi
Ono, Hiroshi
キーワード
Regional economy
Rate of error
Dynamic multipliers
Changes in parameters
Forecasts
Structural changes
NDC
経済
抄録(英)
A thorough reconstruction of the Toyo Keizai Econometric Model of Hiroshima Prefecture is undertaken in the paper. The independence of the regional industry equations of the whole system is corrected. A lack of theoretical explanations of individual equations and the limitation in the number of periods in solving the simultaneous equations are lifted. The effectiveness of taking into account the trend of the changes in the industrial structure of the regional economy and the shifts of parameters of industry equations is evaluated in terms of dynamic multiplier analyses. The importance of having a workable national model as a part of the entire model in constructing a regional model was emphasized. Making use of a regional econometric model, a mechanism of production smoothing by inventory investment was described.
掲載誌名
廣島大學經濟論叢
35巻
2号
開始ページ
73
終了ページ
151
出版年月日
2011-11-30
出版者
広島大学経済学会
ISSN
0386-2704
NCID
言語
英語
NII資源タイプ
紀要論文
広大資料タイプ
学内刊行物(紀要等)
DCMIタイプ
text
フォーマット
application/pdf
著者版フラグ
publisher
権利情報
Copyright (c) 2011 広島大学
部局名
社会科学研究科
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