このエントリーをはてなブックマークに追加
ID 36666
file
title alternative
School Teacher Demand Projections for Japan until 2025 : When will the third recession period come ?
creator
subject
teacher demand
projection
primary school
junior high school
Japan
教員需要
推計
小学校
中学校
日本
NDC
Education
abstract
There are two cycles of demands for school teachers for seventy years after the second world war in Japan. We are now in the third period of increasing demands. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the demands for primary and junior high school teachers for more than ten years from 2014 to 2025.  

It was found that demands for primary and junior high school teachers would reach the peak each around 2017 and 2020. Demand for primary school teachers will begin to decrease substantially around 2021. The third recession period of the demand will be expected to come around 2023 or later.  

The year and amount of the peak of the demands will differ among regions. In Tokyo and Osaka metropolitan areas, demand for primary school teachers has already decreased. The demand will decrease rapidly after 2021. However, in Tohoku, southern Kyushu and Okinawa, the demand will reach the peak around 2020.  

Reconsiderations of the size of teacher education programs, especially for the primary school teachers, will be necessary. The central government and prefectural boards of education should consider the regional differences of teacher demands.
journal title
Bulletin of the Graduate School of Education, Hiroshima University. Part 3, Education and human science
issue
Issue 63
start page
11
end page
20
date of issued
2014-12-19
publisher
広島大学大学院教育学研究科
issn
1346-5562
ncid
language
jpn
nii type
Departmental Bulletin Paper
HU type
Departmental Bulletin Papers
DCMI type
text
format
application/pdf
text version
publisher
department
Graduate School of Education
他の一覧