問題解決事態としての直観的確率判断

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Title ( jpn )
問題解決事態としての直観的確率判断
Title ( eng )
Intuitive probability judgment as a problem solving
Creator
Minami Manabu
Source Title
広島大学教育学部紀要. 第一部, 心理学
Bulletin of the Faculty of Education, Hiroshima University. Part 1, Psychology division
Issue 42
Start Page 153
End Page 159
Abstract
In the intuitive probability judgment, two approaches to explain “conjunction fallacy" and “base rate fallacy" have been discussed in previous studies. The first is the heuristics approach (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974), and the second is conversation convention approach (Grice, 1975). The present article discussed theoretical limitations of each approach. Integrating these two approaches, the present article proposes a third approach,“problem-solving approach". This approach stresses the importance of how subjects perceived the given problem, so that the flexibility of judgment and the dependency of content/context could be attributed to their mental model.
Keywords
intuitive probability judgment
heuristics
conversation convention
problem-solving
NDC
Psychology [ 140 ]
Language
jpn
Resource Type departmental bulletin paper
Publisher
広島大学教育学部
Date of Issued 1993
Publish Type Version of Record
Access Rights open access
Source Identifier
[ISSN] 0919-8652
[NCID] AN1044240X